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FDC 'unbothered' by poll placing Bobi Wine ahead of Besigye

Kizza Besigye (L) with Bobi Wine recently

Kizza Besigye (L) with Bobi Wine recently

Uganda's biggest opposition party, Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) says it's not bothered by an opinion poll that has placed the party’s four-time presidential candidate, Dr Kizza Besigye in third position amongst the 2021 presidential contenders.    

The poll by Research World International placed Besigye behind President Museveni and Kyadondo East legislator, Robert Kyagulanyi also known as Bobi Wine.    

If Uganda went to the polls last month, Museveni would score 32 per cent, followed by Bobi Wine with 22 per cent and Besigye with 13 percent, indicated the poll, conducted among 2,042 respondents aged 18 years and above across the country. Bobi Wine only joined active politics less than three years ago while Besigye and Museveni have been directly battling it out since 2001.

When results of the latest poll were published by Sunday Monitor, the party’s diehards were quick to raise from the dust, a 2015 poll which gave Museveni 51 per cent, Besigye 32 per cent, and Amama Mbabazi 12 per cent. But Besigye scored 35.1 per cent in the official election results, Museveni 60.6 per cent, while Mbabazi got 1.39 per cent in the 2016 elections. Those official figures have always been disputed by Besigye and FDC who still claim that they were rigged out by Museveni and his party. The ruling party, National Resistance Movement (NRM) officials have also rubbished the research findings.     

FDC spokesperson Ibrahim Ssemujju Nganda says history of previous polls by Research World International will absolve Besigye. Ssemujju says the FDC will use the poll outcome for internal research but they are quite confident that it’s inaccurate.    

"Speaking about research work, the mistake you made you, Monitor who published the findings, you did not go back to a similar report that you made towards 2016. If you go back, Besigye didn’t get more than 18%. But if you want to go by the official figures it was more than the Research World figures. So while we’ll use that information for our internal research, we can’t depend on its accuracy because it has never been accurate. I don’t have to be the one to tell you that it is inaccurate because you published it in 2015. Just go back and see the figures that they gave Dr Besigye and FDC at that stage. When you compare them, you will have the answer." said Ssemujju. 

IPOD summit    

Meanwhile, the party still has no stand on whether they will attend the Inter-party Organisation for Dialogue (IPOD) second summit slated for May 15. FDC snubbed the first summit in November last year.  

Party leaders have been threatening to snub the second summit over continued brutality by security agencies, although they have been participating in IPOD preparatory activities ahead of the second summit.  

For instance, they have been part of an ongoing discussion on drafting regulations that will guide the implementation of the Public Order Management Act (POMA), 2013. Political parties through IPOD are trying to iron out contentious issues such whether the police is mandated to authorize their meetings.    

Ssemujju says FDC is still a member of IPOD and will participate in its activities except those which they view as irrelevant in the struggle against the Museveni-leadership. He says the party leadership hasn’t met to make decisions on whether to attend second IPOD summit or not.     

Comments

+1 #1 Lysol 2019-05-06 20:53
There are several things to look for in a poll to determine its credibility: the actual text of the question, the poll size, if it is a proper representative random sample, and the margin of error. In this case with is the margin of error?

Also, as a general rule, the greater the number of people interviewed, the more likely the prediction will be accurate.

Everything else being equal, an election poll of 100,000 out of two million voters is more likely to produce accurate results than a poll of 1,000 or 2,042 out of the same number. ... to influence the results.
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-3 #2 Wainanchi 2019-05-06 21:24
Read my lips.Uganda wants Yoweri Kaguta Museveni as her president and noone else!!

Neera neera Neera Mzee .Paka last,paka paka.Those MUJAYE??? Do not make me laugh,hehehehehehehehehehehehehehe................ .........
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+1 #3 Karemire 2019-05-06 23:45
Quoting Lysol:
There are several things to look for in a poll to determine its credibility: the actual text of the question, the poll size, if it is a proper representative random sample, and the margin of error. In this case with is the margin of error?

Also, as a general rule, the greater the number of people interviewed, the more likely the prediction will be accurate.

Everything else being equal, an election poll of 100,000 out of two million voters is more likely to produce accurate results than a poll of 1,000 or 2,042 out of the same number. ... to influence the results.


The point is this: Those who vote NRM will stick with NRM with sure & predictable loyalty.

Kizza and Wine can only SPLIT the rest of the votes. Conclusion: Even without rigging, the NRM can still win.
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+2 #4 sula 2019-05-07 06:44
1- Museveni's numbers in all the previous elections have been rigged ''doctored''. so how do you make a comparison based on a wrong figure !.

2- How can you make a comparison made on a sample of 2000 out of 10m voters ! . Makes little sense.

The story wasnt worth space , neither does this one !. It is all cheap paid m7 propaganda, to perpetuate the narrative that m7 has been winning !
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0 #5 WADADA roger 2019-05-07 15:43
I agree with FDC, in my view, id you add Bobi Wine's 22 per cent and Besigye's 13 percent, a decision to work together would have them with 35 percent above Museveni
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-1 #6 Remase 2019-05-07 16:29
Well, it may well be that Kyagulanyi leads besigye in the polls, what does it mean to Uganda?

Absolutely nothing! You poll all you want, however it wont mean anything at all. Elections have never and will never lead to M7's exit.

That wont happen. Take that to the bank. Look at what is happening and wake up. M7 recently promoted his son, Muhoozi, to Lt. General! And you think that Kyagulanyi will simply win the 2021 elections and M7 handover the power to him and allow a peaceful transition of power? Right?
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-2 #7 Odongkara 2019-05-07 16:44
Quoting Wainanchi:
Read my lips.Uganda wants Yoweri Kaguta Museveni as her president and noone else!!

Neera neera Neera Mzee .Paka last,paka paka.Those MUJAYE??? Do not make me laugh,hehehehehehehehehehehehehehe.........................

Make him your father to take care of your mother but wise Ugandans alone.
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-2 #8 Odongkara 2019-05-07 16:49
FDC is correctly down playing the poll results because they mean nothing at all. In politics an hour is more than enough to massively influence the status quo.

Secondly I have doubts on the accuracy of the polls. Thirdly Uganda has never had free and fair past elections to justify such results. FDC will not be Carried away by simplistic and hollow figures.
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+1 #9 fkyyyyyy 2019-05-08 11:23
Kaguta's son is still the preferred president.
M7 (32%) nearly equals BW (22%) + KB (11%).
You will be fine.
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0 #10 Wainanchi 2019-05-08 16:01
@Odonkara--- Heheheheh, you make me laugh stud man!

Who cares about you and your shitty statements and thoughts.!! Piss off myaje!!!Buzz off smelly rat!
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