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Museveni not about to hand over power to Muhoozi - analysts

President Museveni meeting son Muhoozi at State House

President Museveni meeting son Muhoozi at State House

Just hours after Uganda's president, Yoweri Museveni, made minor changes to his cabinet, he also appointed his son, Muhoozi Kainerugaba, to be head of the military.

Analysts say the appointment puts Museveni’s son in line to be president – but only if Museveni, in power for nearly four decades, is unable to continue.

Museveni’s son, generally referred to as Muhoozi, was named chief of defense forces Thursday night, replacing General Wilson Mbusa Mbadi, who was appointed a junior minister of trade.

The 49-year-old Muhoozi has been away from active military command for two years. He was removed from his previous job as head of land forces for his controversial posts on Twitter, now known as X.

In various tweets, he had threatened to invade and capture Nairobi within two weeks, voiced support for Tigray rebels fighting the Ethiopian government, and expressed approval of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

According to the Ugandan constitution, a serving military officer is not allowed to be involved in political activities. But Muhoozi ignored that, not only voicing his opinions but also making his political ambitions public.

More recently, Muhoozi formed the Patriotic League of Uganda. The group is considered a civic organization rather than a political party to possibly sidestep any constitutional issues.

Museveni has been grooming his son for the presidency for years – although Godber Tumushabe, director of the Great Lakes Institute for Strategic Studies, does not think a transfer of power is imminent.

“One has to realize that Museveni is a life president. I don’t think that Museveni can allow his son to be president when he is alive. That will only happen when God has called him or when he has become so incapacitated to be president,” Tumushabe said.

Sarah Bireete, executive director for the non-profit Center for Constitutional Governance, says Museveni had been tasked by the central executive committee of the ruling NRM party to sort out the issue of Muhoozi’s political future before the 2026 elections.

Thursday’s move indicates that Museveni, at age 81, plans to run for another term as president. Bireete says it also indicates that the army, led by Muhoozi, will be on his side.

“They have been known to abuse human rights during elections,” Bireete said. “We have the unresolved Kampala extrajudicial killings where the army was involved. So, we expect that now with the technical head of the army in the name of the CDF (Chief of Defence Forces) who has a clear political ambition, who has a clear partisan leaning of either the father or himself, we expect him to use the army more visibly.”

Museveni has been in power since 1986 and has often used security forces to suppress political opposition. Analysts say that, assuming Museveni wins another term two years from now, the army’s conduct will be under intense scrutiny, as observers watch for signs of a transfer of power.


0 #11 Mike 2024-03-25 22:52
Sometimes, we spend productive time discussing things that never add value to us.
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0 #12 Lakwena 2024-03-26 07:19
Quoting apollo:
What has been missing from the ingredients that should present a Museveni dynasty was deification (making of a god or demi-god).

Now, this last weekend in Bukedea, Hon. Among worshipped him as a god or demi-god. She performed the full acts of worship, including veneration, adoration and exaltation of her object of worship. This is instructive and a reinforcement of the Museveni dynasty. The Kim dynasty in North Korea went through the same stages.

Apollo you are on the money. Among and "her president", are committing hubris (abomination).

But like those before them in distant and recent History like: Julius Caesar, Nero, Hitler, Saddam, Qaddafi etc., who tried to immortalize and fossilize themselves in statues, monuments, buildings, roads, phony books (biography) written by ghost writers, etc. at the expense of citizens; most ended up tragically.

No sympathy!
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0 #13 Lakwena 2024-03-26 07:33
Quoting Charles Dicken Oruk:
There is no political transition from one presiden to another president from a different political party.

Under Museveni regime, any political party with an army should forget taking state power.

The appointment of Muhoozi the son of the president as CDF is a clear indication that, he is the one who will take over from his father, eithe throught military coup or after his father demise.

In other words Oruk, Ugandans should not rule out their long march to the current Sudan, where the factions in the armed forces are at each other's throats and busy destroying the country; as the civilians who tried with just their voices and bare hands, to bring about democracy and lasting peace, most of them are now in Uganda with only their skirts and/or shirts on backs, trying to learn some English and move on with their lives.

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0 #14 Remase 2024-03-26 08:31
Lakwena, indeed it's sickening! After 4 decades of clear family, relatives, tribesmen and militants rule there's nothing surprising about M7. That's what is expected of a typical M7.

The question is, what have we [so called opposition] done? More of the same. Lubega Segona, a NUP MP and ardent supporter of M7, just like Katikiro Mayiga, praised and thanked M7 for his nepotism, tribalism, patronage, violent and sanctioned corruption system of M7's govt! That's what is more sickening!
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0 #15 Lakwena 2024-03-27 08:04
Quoting Lysol:
Museveni cannot hand over power to his "adopted" clown son, because he won't last long in power.

In other words Lysol, I have been wondering why Gen Muhoozi does not have even the slightest resemblance with "Our Problem of Africa", Gen Tibuhaburwa.

No wonder, from a physiological point of view, expressed above in the sitting distance between the two; it is an enigmas ambivalence. It is like an imposed relationship, between an unclean leper father and his clean son, or vice versa.

Otherwise, traditionally, ethically and morally, father and only son are buddies. Therefore, which father e.g. would use his son as Bodyguard?
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